Cold and stormy weather as we enter December? |
Posted: 11/21/2006 10:48:00 AM |
Little change was made to the forecast today. It appears we'll be seeing sunny skies through Thanksgiving morning and then some clouding over starting Thanksgiving evening. Rain is now included Friday as the the GFS has picked up speed with this system, although the timing and track of the storm is still rediculously uncertain. While the NWS has removed mention of freezing rain, we still should monitor the progress of temperatures with this storm as some icing is still possible Friday morning.
Temperatures through tomorrow will be on the chilly side with AOB for highs (45) but with lows well below average with a guarentee to see teens tonight (5 to 10 below average) and around 20 Wednesday night. Highs will reach the upper 40s tomorrow and could reach 50 on Thanksgiving.
Full map
For information on the "gist" of the storm Friday into Saturday, check yesterday's post. For the latest guesses on what it is going to do, check NWS information, and model forecasts. At the moment, we still are guessing so I'll just say this: there is a chance for precipitation Friday and/or Saturday and there is also a chance of no precipitation those days. 1600 update: Freezing rain has been put back in the NWS forecast. Also, the GFS emsembles and the NAM solutions have sped up the storm a great deal, precipitation is now expected to arrive on Thanksgiving, starting as rain during the day and then possibly changing to freezing rain before ending on Friday. This could turn out to be a very dangerous situation for post-Thanksgiving travelers, and anyone that does have to travel during the Thursday evening-Friday morning time period should pay close attention to the latest forecasts from Keene Weather, and the NWS. More later...
Taking a detour past this road block, we are looking at colder temperatures moving back in on Monday. Highs will be in the upper 30s with lows around 20. For the past 48 hours of runs, the GFS has shown a significant storm system lifting northward from the Great Lakes into Canada. This would bring a quick shot of much warmer air (from 30s on Monday to 50s on Tuesday) and then rain moving in Wednesday. Behind the storm, an arctic outbreak is possible (obviously this is all speculation) changing rain to snow before the storm pulls out. The GFS has also been hinting at some secondary development along the front which could make for a significant snowfall across SNE. A nice finish to a terribly warm November if this would happen.
|posted by Sam Lillo @ 11/21/2006 10:48:00 AM
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