(1730): Robin information:
Through a little research in the past hour or so, I've found that the presence of robins is not TOO unusual however still early. They actually are present more so according to snowfall and not so much temperatures. In fact, the rule is they will arrive behind the 37 degree isotherm (around the first week averaging >37F) as long as there is little in the way of snow. They also tend to be closer to the coast (open unfrozen water). Last year, their arrival was first noted in NH on the 22nd of February in Hampton.

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Temperatures in Keene reached much higher than expected: 57 degrees from 12:35 to 1:35pm. Low temperatures tonight will not fall much, and some places could be looking at record high lows. In Keene, the average low for tonight is 12. The forecast from the NWS is 47 and mine at 46 (34F above normal!). Currently it is 52 outside. Tomorrow, the heat is on! Despite cloud cover, high temperatures will rise into the 60's to near 70 across southern New England. Based on forecast 900mb temps of 16C at 12z, with full sunshine, SNE would be looking at upper 70's.

Disturbingly enough, the warmth has affected animal behavior in an extreme way. Extreme enough that I saw 11 robins on my lawn when I got home at 4pm. I'm doing a little research on the normal occurance of robin migration, but I, along with most people, have been raised with the knowledge that the robin is a foreteller of spring in New England. From this information, I think I can estimate that their arrival is at least two months early.

Long term discussion coming later tonight.