Posted: 7/07/2007 08:59:00 AM




Summary - The week ahead -
...Mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 70's today. Maybe a shower in the afternoon. Skies become partly cloudy on Sunday, with highs soaring into the upper 80's. The heat is on for Monday with temperatures reaching the lower 90's. Showers and thunderstorms will affect the region each afternoon Monday through Thursday. Temperatures will moderate throughout the week, down to the upper 70's for Friday.

Near term - through 9pm this evening -
...Short wave will be moving through today. A band of mid level clouds extended across northern MA and southern NH this morning. Clouds will break up somewhat towards the late morning for a period of partly cloudy skies through the early afternoon. Clouds increase this afternoon out ahead of the short wave. There will be a slight chance of a shower through the late evening, however precipitation will be confined mainly to the north.

Temperatures started out in the upper 50's to 60's across the region. 850mb temperatures around 15C will not reach full potential at the surface due to cloud cover. Expect highs in the upper 70's to around 80 today.

Short term - Tonight through Sunday night -
...Clouds break up tonight for partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will fall into the mid 50's. A warm front will approach the region on Sunday. Mid level warming out ahead will push highs into the upper 80's in Keene to the 90's across SNE. Despite frontal passage, the atmosphere will likely remained capped with the mid level warmth through the afternoon. A few thunderstorms, some strong may affect areas further north. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies will be the rule across New England. Low temperatures will fall back into the 60's Sunday Night.

Long term - Monday through Friday 7/13 -
...Record heat is possibility on Monday, with heat wave possible in parts of SNE through Wednesday. Still questionable how hot it will get. Euro insists on +24C 805mb temps, but GFS staying at 20C. Euro has had a warm bias for the past few months now, so do not trust the 24C at all. Staying closer to the GFS with 20 - 21C temps. This is still enough to boost surface highs into the low to mid 90's. Humidity will not be as high as with the last heat wave, but enough to put heat indices into the upper 90's again, with 105 possibly in Boston, Worcester, Hartford.

Severe thunderstorm potential exists each afternoon Monday through Thursday. The main day will be Thursday as cold front passes with strong wind field. Details will be posted later this afternoon in the severe weather outlook page.

Friday will be cooler, dier, with partly cloudy skies.

&&

Forecaster: SL
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Weather history:

7/7 in Keene, NH:

normal high is 84, record is 97 (set in 1988)
normal low is 55, record is 37 (set in 1965)

Astronomy:

Sunrise: 5:17AM Sunset: 8:30PM
Moonrise: None Moonset: 1:12PM
-Waning Gibbous, 51% illuminated
Length of visible light: 16 hours 22 minutes
Length of day: 15 hours 13 minutes
-Tomorrow will be 1 minute 5 seconds shorter

7/7 across the United States:

1905 - The mercury soared to 127 degrees at Parker, AZ, to tie the state record established at Fort Mohave on the 15th of June in 1896. (The Weather Channel)

1915 - A severe wind and thunderstorm caused heavy damage and 38 deaths in and near Cincinnati, OH. Many older buildings were demolished. The steamship "Dick Fulton" was overturned. (The Weather Channel)

1981 - Montana was in the midst of a snowstorm that dumped ten inches at Glacier National Park, and produced winds to 90 mph. Meanwhile, Denver, CO, set a record high with a reading of 101 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes in Colorado, and three in West Texas. Thunderstorms also produced softball size hail at Bula, TX. In the midst of a record thirty-nine day string of 100 degree days, the temperature at Tucson, AZ, dipped to 66 degrees, marking their third straight record low for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thirty-eight cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Youngstown, OH, hit 100 degrees, and for the second day in a row, Flint, MI, reached 101 degrees, equalling all-time records for those two cities. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather during the day, with more than 100 reports of large hail and damaging winds from Ohio to Massachusetts and New Hampshire. Thunderstorm winds reached 90 mph in Sullivan County, NH, and golf ball size hail was reported in Pennsylvania. Twenty-four cities, mostly in the southwestern U.S., reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 105 degrees at Cedar City, UT, and 114 degrees at Moab, UT, were all-time records for those locations. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Yesterday (7/6):
Keene: H 81, L 59





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