Not too much change from my thoughts yesterday. The NAM and GFS have more deepened solutions with the low pressure off the coast on Wednesday. The main difference between the two models is the GFS is further north which would result in warmer temperatures. Both forecasts still advertise rain changing to snow Wednesday morning. 1000-850mb thicknesses and 2m temperatures are not what I would like to see for snow potential down into lower Keene, but would still support flakes above 750ft and possibly a coating of snow by 9am Wednesday above 1000ft. Otherwise, Wednesday will be a very chilly day, with clouds in place and rain and snow showers though the morning; temperatures will struggle to reach the mid 40's for highs.

Skies will clear for Thursday and Friday with moderating temperatures.

The next storm system will enter the picture by Saturday Night. The timing of the storm has shifted a little earlier and the models have been inconsistent in this regard, however the Pumpkin Festival still looks dry and with warmer temperatures.

The GFS and EURO have been very adament in driving a trough south and east into the Ohio Valley, spawning a coastal low that will move toward the region Saturday night and into Sunday. This will spread a large area of moderate to heavy rain over the region. Rainfall totals over an inch are likely.

Behind the system, a very cold air mass will punch into the upper plains, Ohio Valley and northeast. High temperatures October 29 to November 2 will be between 35 and 45 (around 10-15 below normal). More snow potential exists during this period. Further west, the Lake effect snow machine will rev its engines.