Not much has changed in my forecast for the start of February. The storm progged for the second-third is still on although details still need to be worked out. Bitter cold will follow behind the storm as the AO dives negative and strong blocking sets up close to the north pole pushing a polar vortex southward into the region.

The storm threat for Thursday-Friday is still mainly because the models are doing backflips that no one wants to interpret. The GFS has been all over the place with the track. The Euro brings the low inland, while the latest GGEM delivers and glancing blow to SE New England and partly cloudy skies here. The NWS is sticking with chance POPs for both days and that sounds right to me, since commitment toward anything right now would be foolish.

Quick short term disco:
Low pressure moving off the M/A coast and well southeast of the region will create overcast skies for much of SNE with ocean effect snows likely on the cape. This low will move out of the picture later today, as high pressure moves in for a brief visit before another clipper system swings through tomorrow afternoon. This will bring a chance of some snow showers to the area but with no accumulation expected. Temperatures through Wednesday will be in the low to mid 20's. A shot of warmer air will arrive Thursday with the coastal storm, and behind the storm much colder air will follow.