Near term - through 9pm this evening -
...Yesterday ended up cloudier than expected with the short wave dropping south slightly further. No precipitation was recorded, however the cloud cover made it difficult for temperatures to rise. The high yesterday was recorded at 66 degrees. Short wave passage overnight brought a final increase in northerly flow ushering in more cold air. 850mb temperatures dropped down below 5C this morning. Today, more sun is expected however which should help temperatures rise to around 70-72.

High pressure in the Great Lakes region will try to take control of the weather, however trough to our east will continue to affect New England with isolated shower and thunderstorm development in mainly eastern New England. Keene could be affected by sprinkles or a shower in the afternoon. Otherwise, skies will begin mostly sunny with diurnal cloud formation once again in the afternoon. The tight pressure gradient will push northwest winds gusting between 15 and 20mph through the region.

Short term - Tonight through Tuesday night -
...Trough moves off to the east tonight, and high pressure will follow closely. Any sprinkles will diminish by 9pm. Winds will become light and variable, with clearing skies as high pressure takes control. Radiational cooling will drop lows into the mid 40's again.

High pressure is centered to our east on Tuesday, which will develop a southerly flow over New England. Skies will start mostly sunny with a gradual rise in cirrus throughout the day, but increasing low level moisture will form low level cumulus in the afternoon. 850mb temperatures will be on the increase, reaching 8C to 9C by the afternoon. Despite a cold start, highs will rise into the mid 70s in Keene, with the temperatures nearing 80s to the south and west. All in all, a beautiful day for fireworks in Keene.



Moisture continues to be on the increase through Tuesday night, with rising warm air advection, could have some scattered showers affect Keene into Wednesday morning. Low temperatures will be much warmer, staying in the low to mid 50's in Keene to near 60 to the south.

Long term - Wednesday through Sunday 7/8 -
...Wednesday - Independence Day - is a low confidence forecast period. Much will depend on how far north the warm front reaches. Right now it appears that front will stall to the west, with flow of moisture keeping clouds, showers, and thunderstorms in the area throughout the day, some of them could contain heavy rains. 850mb temperatures will be on the rise, however cloud cover will keep temperatures down in the low 70's.



Short wave along the front punches through on Wednesday Night, with frontal passage following on Thursday. With this situation, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies will scattered showers and storms throughout the day. PWATs will range between 1.7 and 1.9, so heavy rain could occur in some thunderstorms. Generally looking at rainfall totals of 1.0 to 2.5 through Thursday, with the highest amounts (isolated areas >3 inches) where thunderstorms train over. With relative instability and strong winds aloft, some of the thunderstorms that develop on Thursday could be severe. This is a situation that needs monitoring. Detailed updates on this can be found in the severe weather outlook page. Temperatures will rise to near 80 on Thursday, although high will depend greatly on how far north the low goes, and how much cloud cover remains.

850mb temperatures will be up to around 12C to 15C on Friday with surface dew points in the 60's. Partly cloudy skies will help in temperatures rising quickly in the morning. However, cold front moves through Friday afternoon, with showers and thunderstorms. Lows drop back to the 50's Friday Night.

Another weak front sweeps down from Canada on Saturday, with a slight chance of some showers or thunderstorms. Temperatures will stay up in the upper 70's to near 80. A warming trend will continue into the early part of next week with highs into the low 80's on Sunday with primarily dry weather.

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Forecaster: SL
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Weather history:

7/2 in Keene, NH:
normal high is 82, record is 96 (set in 1963)
normal low is 55, record is 39 (set in 1935)

Astronomy:

Sunrise: 5:14AM Sunset: 8:31PM
Moonrise: 10:23PM Moonset: 7:02AM
-Waning Gibbous, 96% illuminated
Length of visible light: 16 hours 27 minutes
Length of day: 15 hours 17 minutes
-Tomorrow will be 45 seconds shorter

7/2 across the United States:

1833 - An unusually large New England tornado, one half to three quarters of a mile wide, went from Salem Pond to Norton Pond, VT, and then into Canada. It "prostrated" nearly everything in its path. (The Weather Channel)

1843 - An alligator reportedly fell from the sky onto Anson Street in Charleston, SC, during a thunderstorm. (David Ludlum)

1987 - Thunderstorms in Colorado produced hail as large as golf balls northwest of Kiowa, which accumulated to a depth of twelve inches. Hail two and a half inches in diameter was reported at Black Forest. Hail damaged 900 acres of crops south of the town of Wiggins. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The morning low of 47 degrees at Roanoke, VA, broke the July record set the previous day. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S., with 158 reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Evening thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced softball size hail which caused more than five million dollars damage at Allen, and wind gusts to 90 mph at Dallas, which injured eight persons and caused seven million dollars damage. Winnfield LA reported 29.52 inches of rain in six days, for a total of 62.50 inches for the first six months of the year. Midland, TX, reported an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Yesterday (7/1):
Keene: H 66, L 48